Launch Window

Is now a good hour to launch a token on Robinhood Chain? Measured hourly against Solana and Base, because attention is roughly zero‑sum across chains.

28 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTC6 hours of history
This hour
HOT
Good time to launch

Demand for new tokens is running ahead of supply right now.

Provisional. This reads today's raw numbers against the last 6 hours and the other chains. The full score, which compares against the same hour of the same weekday over four weeks, starts once the bot has seven days of history.

collecting baseline
6 / 168 hours · 4%

A z‑score against the same hour‑of‑week is meaningless until there is a week to compare with, so no verdict is published before then. Every number below is live and real; only the score is withheld.

first runscoring begins

Launchpads on Robinhood Chain

24h volume · biggest is not the same as fastest growing

Where the launches are actually going. Tokens are counted on chain by the router that created them, so a pad shows up whether or not any index lists it. The hottest pad is the one growing fastest day over day, not simply the biggest.

Tokens launched this hour · 862 total

Uniswap PositionManager
328
38.1%
bot cluster …6666
217
25.2%
long.xyz
107
12.4%
pools.trade
59
6.8%
Pons
52
6.0%
0x65d673f2…
32
3.7%
0x73991a25…
21
2.4%
0x0000ffff…
12
1.4%
0x89e5db8b…
7
0.8%
0x5bd1fbe7…
6
0.7%
0x18f42729…
4
0.5%
0x5ff137d4…
4
0.5%

Trading volume 24h · share of pad volume

Pons V2 biggest
$28.25M
91%
+41%
LetsCash
$2.29M
7%
-36%
Flap sh fastest growing
$612.19K
2%
+95%
StonkBrokers
$27.07K
0%
-68%
Frontier
$15.34K
0%
+449%
pmav
$293
0%
-65%
RobinFun
$127
0%
-7%
HoodMint
$19
0%
RH.fun
$12
0%

Ten concepts, best bet first

ranked on what actually graduates · 8 technical, 1 meme

Ranked by measurement, not taste. All 321 tokens that have graduated on Pons were classified by theme from their name and description, the same classifier was run over 3,027 launches sampled evenly across the full 339,000-launch history, and each theme scored on lift — its share of winners divided by its share of launches. That controls for the fact that a theme can look popular simply because everyone launches it.

Thin themes were shrunk toward 1.0 (derivatives showed 3.14× off two winners), and each theme is capped at two entries — uncapped, the list returns four interchangeable tokenised-stock ideas. Lift is evidence of a better prior, not a promise: the base rate on Pons is 2.8%, so 2.70× means roughly 7.6%, not a sure thing.

1best bet
Float Technical narrative

Tokenised equity float — real shares wrapped so the supply on chain matches the register.

2.70× more likely to graduate Tokenized stocks / RWA · 30 winners
2
Tickr Technical narrative

A ticker registry — every wrapped stock gets one canonical symbol nobody can squat.

2.70× more likely to graduate Tokenized stocks / RWA · 30 winners
3
Relay Technical narrative

Message passing between Robinhood Chain and everywhere else.

1.98× more likely to graduate Infra / protocol · 16 winners
4
Latch Technical narrative

Liquidity locked by contract with the release date public from block one.

1.98× more likely to graduate Infra / protocol · 16 winners
5
Divvy Technical narrative

Trading fees split pro rata to holders every block, no claim transaction.

1.79× more likely to graduate Fees / yield to holders · 7 winners
6
Drip Technical narrative

Yield that streams by the second instead of landing in a weekly lump.

1.79× more likely to graduate Fees / yield to holders · 7 winners
7
Catnip Pure meme

A cat coin. No mechanism, no roadmap — it wins on the picture or not at all.

1.70× more likely to graduate Cat · 23 winners
8
Signal Technical narrative

An agent that reads the tape and posts its calls on chain, wrong ones included.

1.54× more likely to graduate AI / agent · 20 winners
9
Pilot Technical narrative

Autopilot for a treasury: rules in, rebalances out, every action logged.

1.54× more likely to graduate AI / agent · 20 winners
10
401X
401X TradFi parody

The retirement account joke, played straight: locked, vesting, on chain.

1.26× more likely to graduate TradFi parody · 3 winners

Chain activity

the whole chain, not just new tokens

278,318Transactionsthis hour
284New walletsthis hour
507,877,088Total transactionsall time
16,979,870Total walletsall time
23Launchpads activecreating tokens this hour
$850.76MDEX volume24h, all pairs

What this says right now

in plain terms

Signal against noise

every token created this hour, and how few of them trade

Most tokens minted on Robinhood Chain never trade once. They are a fixed template with identical seeded liquidity and no buyers. Counting them as competition is the difference between reading the chain as permanently crowded and reading it correctly, so the score uses real launches, not the raw count.

traded indexed, never traded not indexed

Robinhood Chain
131/ 1,088
12.0%
Base
20/ 161
12.4%
Solana
unavailable

Fresh volume share

share of all DEX volume going into tokens under 24h old

The headline demand measure. Total chain volume is a bad signal on its own because most of it is established pairs and tokenised equities.

Robinhood Chain
5.13%
Solana
1.19%
Base
0.25%

By chain

hover a dimmed row to see why it is unavailable

Robinhood Chain

no score
Real launches
131
Pool creations (raw)
1,088
Bonded
51
Fresh volume share
5.13%
Volume in fresh tokens
$43.64M
Unique fresh buyers
346sampled
Buy / sell ratio
1.38×sampled
Graduation rate
unavailable
Launch to bond
24 min
Median peak FDV
$26.38K
New tokens resolved
463
Tokens under 24h
1,771
Chain DEX volume
$850.76M
Chain TVL
$642.22M
Gas price
0.0458
Failed tx rate
5.88%sampled
KOL wallets
unavailable

Solana

no score
Real launches
unavailable
Pool creations (raw)
unavailable
Bonded
unavailable
Fresh volume share
1.19%sampled
Volume in fresh tokens
$43.33Msampled
Unique fresh buyers
unavailable
Buy / sell ratio
1.25×sampled
Graduation rate
unavailable
Launch to bond
30 min
Median peak FDV
$265.02K
Tokens under 24h
108sampled
Chain DEX volume
$3.63B
Chain TVL
$6.02B
Gas price
unavailable
Failed tx rate
unavailable
KOL wallets
unavailable

Base

no score
Real launches
20
Pool creations (raw)
161
Bonded
8
Fresh volume share
0.25%
Volume in fresh tokens
$2.53M
Unique fresh buyers
67sampled
Buy / sell ratio
1.21×sampled
Graduation rate
unavailable
Launch to bond
41 min
Median peak FDV
$32.64K
New tokens resolved
28
Tokens under 24h
173
Chain DEX volume
$1.01B
Chain TVL
$5.48B
Gas price
0.0060
Failed tx rate
7.33%sampled
KOL wallets
unavailable

What the score will use

five inputs, weighted · Robinhood Chain

A metric that fails to fetch is dropped, never zeroed, and the remaining weights are renormalised. Below half the total weight, no score is published at all.

inputlatest zweightstatus
fresh vol share 5.13% —
0.30
insufficient baseline: 0.2d of history, need 7d
grad rate lagged — —
0.25
insufficient baseline: 0.2d of history, need 7d
real launches 1h inverted 131 —
0.20
insufficient baseline: 0.2d of history, need 7d
kol fresh buyers — —
0.15
insufficient baseline: 0.2d of history, need 7d
fresh unique buyers 346 —
0.10
insufficient baseline: 0.2d of history, need 7d

Inverted inputs count in reverse: fewer real competitors is a better window. z‑scores are winsorised to ±3 so one extreme metric cannot swamp the other four.