Launch Window

Is now a good hour to launch a token on Robinhood Chain? Measured hourly against Solana and Base, because attention is roughly zero‑sum across chains.

08 Oct 2026, 04:00 Thai (21:00 UTC)938 hours of history
Right now · 04:00 Thai (21:00 UTC)
MIXED
No real edge right now

Running at 1.12× its usual buyers‑per‑rival: 0.86× the buyers (215 wallets vs a usual 250) against 0.77× the rivals (433 launches vs a usual 562). Its usual level is 0.97×. The hour‑on‑hour signals agree.

18:00
Next best hour · Friday, last 4 Thursdays

Today is running at 224% of its usual pattern. Best hour left projects to 3.77×, still worth taking. That hour is 18:00 Thai (11:00 UTC), in 14 hours, which normally does 1.68× the usual buyers per rival (1.02× the buyers, 0.60× the rivals). The projection discounts it by how the last 5 measured hours have actually gone. As a day, Thursday runs 0.99× a typical day's demand — 5th of 7. The strongest is Wednesday (1.15×), the weakest Sunday (0.80×).

Today · Thursdays only

Buyers present per rival launching, over the last 4 Thursdays. Taller is better. Top row Thai, bottom row UTC.

1.04
0700
1.94
0801
1.28
0902
1.26
1003
1.13
1104
0.85
1205
1.08
1306
1.11
1407
0.97
1508
0.96
1609
1.15
1710
0.96
1811
0.69
1912
0.52
2013
0.50
2114
0.71
2215
0.65
2316
0.54
0017
0.46
0118
0.86
0219
0.93
0320
0.97
0421
1.33
0522
1.06
0623
Tomorrow · Fridays only

Best hour tomorrow is 18:00 Thai tomorrow (11:00 UTC) at 1.68×, worst 00:00 Thai tomorrow (17:00 UTC) at 0.62×. Friday as a whole runs 1.01× a typical day's demand. Same scale as today. Top row Thai, bottom row UTC.

1.01
0700
1.05
0801
1.43
0902
1.60
1003
1.24
1104
1.06
1205
1.27
1306
1.18
1407
1.50
1508
1.67
1609
1.49
1710
1.68
1811
1.07
1912
0.73
2013
0.76
2114
0.99
2215
0.73
2316
0.62
0017
0.70
0118
0.80
0219
0.97
0320
0.84
0421
1.02
0522
1.29
0623
Demand by day · 113d of DEX volume

Taller is better — more money moving that day.

1.05×
Mon
1.00×
Tue
1.15×
Wed
0.99×
Thu
1.01×
Fri
0.83×
Sat
0.80×
Sun
What to build
Graduation lift · 3,043 Pons launches, 1,349 graduated

Every number here is a ratio against the same sample, never a success rate. This sample graduates at 44% because the board's ranked views surface winners by construction — platform‑wide it is nearer 2.7%. The absolute figure is an artefact of how the sample was drawn; the ratio between two groups drawn the same way is not. 1.00× is average.

Right now · Thai early hours (00:00-05:59)

In this part of the day utility projects graduate at 1.39× the rate of everything launched alongside them, and Dog is the strongest single theme at 1.66×. Measured against this block's own winners, not the all‑day average, so it is the timing that is being judged and not the projects. 399 graduations from 973 launches.

utility
1.39× n=139
meme
1.12× n=102
hybrid
0.86× n=57
Meme or utility

Classified from name, symbol and description.

utility
1.36× n=416
meme
1.13× n=379
hybrid
0.77× n=210
Theme

Top themes by lift. Anything with under 8 graduations is shown as too thin rather than given a number.

Derivatives / options
1.69× n=28
Politics / people
1.48× n=58
Tokenized stocks / RWA
1.44× n=168
AI / agent
1.31× n=115
TradFi parody
1.29× n=14
Infra / protocol
1.21× n=67
Cat
1.20× n=150
Fees / yield to holders
1.13× n=34
Logo colour · 852 logos read

Dominant colour of the actual logo image, ignoring near‑white and near‑black so it is the colour you would name, not the background. Compared against the 48% base rate of the logo sample only.

Monochrome
1.22× n=68
Cyan / teal
1.20× n=19
Red
1.13× n=44
Orange
1.11× n=224
Green
0.96× n=243
Yellow
0.89× n=88
Blue
0.88× n=134
Pink / magenta
too few · 3 wins
Purple
too few · 6 wins
Logo tone

How bright and saturated that colour is.

Muted / pastel
1.12× n=226
Dark / deep
1.06× n=285
Bright / saturated
0.87× n=341

What actually graduates

rebuilt daily · 154 winners against 997 live launches

Lift is a theme's share of the winners divided by its share of the launches. Above 1.0 means it graduates more often than its launch volume predicts. Winners are the graduation catalog filtered to the last 14 days, so a theme that has rotated out stops voting. Raw sits next to the shrunk number so you can see which rows are thin.

ThemeLiftRawWinners In sampleMedian winnerCall
Fees / yield to holders 1.74× 16.19 5 2 $37.52K strong
AI / agent 1.59× 1.76 38 140 $45.96K strong
Launchpad / tooling 1.47× 2.25 8 23 $44.85K strong
Index / basket 1.24× 4.32 2 3 $358.21K even
Prediction / oracle 1.11× 1.62 2 8 $486.81K even
Infra / routing / DEX 1.08× 1.16 7 39 $43.25K even
Treasury / strategy 1.08× 2.16 1 3 $64.63K even
Gaming 1.01× 1.02 3 19 $82.06K even
RWA / tokenized stocks 1.00× 1.00 8 52 $42.00K even
Pepe / classic meme 0.99× 0.92 1 7 $98.96K even
Hood / Robinhood meta 0.95× 0.92 9 63 $98.62K even
Cat 0.94× 0.81 2 16 $1.01M even
Privacy / anon 0.80× 0.67 6 58 $17.82K cold
Unclassified noise 0.79× 0.78 59 491 $31.11K cold
Other animal 0.71× 0.38 2 34 $550.96K cold
Dog 0.58× 0.17 1 39 $63.64K cold

Concepts on the themes that pay 13 of 15 still clear on the board

Divvy 1.74×

Every trading fee routed straight back to holders in ETH, on a schedule you can watch tick.

Fees / yield to holders clear on board
Rebate 1.74×

Traders earn back a share of the fees they paid, so the people making volume are funded by it.

Fees / yield to holders clear on board
Tithe 1.74×

A fixed slice of volume lands in a community treasury that only ever buys back, publicly, on chain.

Fees / yield to holders clear on board
Errand 1.59×

Post a task, agents bid for it, the one that delivers gets paid. Settlement is the product.

AI / agent clear on board
Hunch 1.59×

Agents post calls on chain ahead of time and get paid on how often they land.

AI / agent taken · name, symbol, 1 descriptions
Recall 1.59×

A shared memory layer agents pay to read from and write to, so what one learns the next can use.

AI / agent clear on board
Primer 1.47×

Pairs any new launch to a stock at deploy time, so it opens with a chart people already follow.

Launchpad / tooling clear on board
Wick 1.47×

Gives a brand-new token a readable, tradeable chart from its first block instead of a flat line.

Launchpad / tooling clear on board
Bracket 1.01×

On-chain tournaments where entries are posted in ETH and the bracket settles itself, round by round.

Gaming clear on board
Purse 1.01×

A prize pot anyone can top up and any game can settle against — one escrow, many games.

Gaming clear on board
Coupon 1.00×

A stock-backed token that pays holders on a fixed clock out of its own trading fees.

RWA / tokenized stocks clear on board
Sliver 1.00×

One Robinhood stock token, cut into pieces small enough that anyone can hold a real position in it.

RWA / tokenized stocks clear on board
Tranche 1.00×

A basket of stock tokens split into payout tiers, so holders choose steady or sharp on the same basket.

RWA / tokenized stocks clear on board
Cloak 0.80×

Private-by-default swaps behind one button, with nothing extra for the user to understand.

Privacy / anon clear on board
Veil 0.80×

Shielded balances on Robinhood Chain — amounts stay yours, settlement stays public and verifiable.

Privacy / anon taken · name, symbol, 3 descriptions

Measured off 819 graduated tokens and a 997-launch sample spanning 6.0h — about 166 launches an hour. Lift is shrunk as (winners + 6) / (expected + 6) so a thin theme cannot spike off two results. The winner window is 14 days and the sample is hours, so this assumes the deploy mix is steady hour to hour; rows under ten winners lean on that hardest. Names carry no ticker — that stays your call. Last rebuilt 2026-10-06 02:02 UTC.

Launchpads on Robinhood Chain

24h volume · biggest is not the same as fastest growing

Where the launches are actually going. Tokens are counted on chain by the router that created them, so a pad shows up whether or not any index lists it. The hottest pad is the one growing fastest day over day, not simply the biggest.

Tokens launched this hour · 351 total

Uniswap PositionManager
124
35.3%
0x5ff137d4…
35
10.0%
0x89e5db8b…
17
4.8%
0x969a62cf…
17
4.8%
0x1eef016f…
16
4.6%
0x278b56a2…
16
4.6%
0x563b2841…
16
4.6%
0x96ac5e87…
16
4.6%
0xc30e2178…
16
4.6%
0x6a57c49c…
15
4.3%
0xced330be…
12
3.4%
0x3194e326…
9
2.6%

Trading volume 24h · share of pad volume

Pons V2 biggest
$10.99M
99%
-26%
LetsCash
$55.90K
1%
-46%
Flap sh
$22.72K
0%
+453%
Mosh
$14.07K
0%
—
Frontier
$8.69K
0%
+54%
StonkBrokers Nightshades
$5.72K
0%
-62%
pmav
$66
0%
-66%
StonkBrokers Safe Launch
$19
0%
-92%
Story.fun
$2
0%
—

Mad Apes call desk

5,699 messages · 2026-08-31 → 2026-10-07 · hourly

Every post on t.me/mad_apes_gambles is read hourly, the contract pulled out of it, and the chart measured around the moment the post landed. Multiples below are peak within 24h of the post, priced from the post itself — not from launch — so they answer the only question that matters to someone reading the channel live: what was still left. Medians throughout, because one 141× would otherwise carry an entire column.

1,165calls measured against the chart
197distinct tokens called
08:00best hour to be called
13:00loudest hour by volume
1.13xmedian Robinhood call, 24h peak · n=87

Best day to be called: Thursday at 1.35x — best hour: 08:00 Thai at 1.86x. Weakest day is Wednesday at 1.06x. Medians of the 24h peak measured from the post, one row per token. The same tokens bottomed at a median 0.78x inside that window, so the peak is a ceiling nobody actually caught, not a return.

What a call actually does

Peak within 24h of the post, priced from the post · 197 settled tokens · median 1.17x, top decile 2.78x, best on record 253x

under 2x
82.2% n=162
2 to 5x
12.2% n=24
5 to 10x
2.5% n=5
10x or more
3.0% n=6

Which day gives the most

Median 24h peak by the day the call landed, ranked

Thu
1.35x 20% 2x · n=25
Fri
1.33x 22% 2x · n=23
Sat
1.22x 32% 2x · n=25
Mon
1.16x 20% 2x · n=25
Tue
1.14x 16% 2x · n=44
Sun
1.14x 9% 2x · n=22
Wed
1.06x 9% 2x · n=33

Which hour gives the most

Median 24h peak by the hour the call landed · best six with enough samples to rank, thin buckets excluded

08:00 Thai (01:00 UTC)
1.86x 50% 2x · n=8
19:00 Thai (12:00 UTC)
1.42x 22% 2x · n=9
21:00 Thai (14:00 UTC)
1.36x 43% 2x · n=7
15:00 Thai (08:00 UTC)
1.35x 0% 2x · n=5
13:00 Thai (06:00 UTC)
1.33x 40% 2x · n=5
12:00 Thai (05:00 UTC)
1.32x 25% 2x · n=12

How late the call came

Time between the token's first block and the post · median 24h peak from the post

<15 min
1.65x 30% 2x · n=33
15-60 min
1.23x 16% 2x · n=37
1-6 h
1.23x 19% 2x · n=32
6-24 h
1.19x 23% 2x · n=31
1-3 d
1.06x 8% 2x · n=12
>3 d
1.07x 10% 2x · n=51

Narratives being called now

Share of the last 14 days against everything before it, in percentage points · median is the 24h peak for that theme

Other / unclassified n=93 · 1.21x median-21.7pp
AI / agent n=13 · 1.46x median+15.4pp
Fees / yield to holders n=4 · 1.12x median+6.3pp
Cat n=14 · 1.11x median-3.1pp
Film / TV / internet lore n=4 · 1.13x median+3.4pp
Dog n=11 · 1.17x median-1.2pp
Crypto-native meta n=4 · 1.20x median+3.4pp
Infra / protocol n=5 · 1.31x median+2.7pp
Animal (other) n=4 · 1.89x median+3.4pp
Country / culture n=2 · 2.71x median+4.7pp

By chain

Median 24h peak from the post, settled calls only

solana
1.18x 11% 2x · n=98
robinhood
1.13x 22% 2x · n=87
bsc
1.94x 50% 2x · n=10
base
1.11x 0% 2x · n=2

First call versus the updates after it

The channel posts a median of 3 times per token and up to 73 on one · median 24h peak from each post

First call on a token
1.17x 18% 2x · n=197
Follow-up update
1.22x 19% 2x · n=960
The headline multiple is not the entry multiple. Across 904 calls where the channel quoted a number, its median claim was 7.00x while the median move measured from the price at the moment of the post was 1.21x. The quoted figure is measured from launch, so most of it is already gone by the time the post lands.